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The BKREA Market Intelligence

Plain-English answers on zoning, air rights, development value, and selling — written for owners, not lawyers.

Comparisons

Pricing on Income Value vs. Pricing on Development Potential

Pricing on Income Value Pricing on Development Potential
What it is Income value is a property's worth based on the income it produces, calculated by dividing net operating income by a market capitalization rate. Development value is a property's worth based on what can be built on it, calculated by multiplying buildable SF (lot size x FAR) by the market price per buildable foot.
The metric Value = NOI divided by cap rate. A building generating $400,000 NOI at a 5.5% cap rate equals about $7.3M — regardless of what zoning would permit on the lot. Value = buildable SF x $/buildable foot. A 10,000 SF lot in an R8 district at FAR 6.02 = 60,200 buildable SF. At $250/buildable foot = $15.0M — roughly double the income value on the same lot.
Inputs needed Rent roll, NOI, expense ratio, market cap rate, and lease terms and rollover dates. Lot area, zoning and FAR, applicable density bonuses, comparable land-sale prices per buildable foot. BKREA's 2026 portfolio: Manhattan rental dev sites $231–$337/SF buildable; condo dev sites $452–$774/SF buildable.
What buyer pool it attracts Yield-focused buyers — private investors, REITs, 1031 exchange buyers, and family offices seeking stable return. Developers and builders seeking returns from ground-up construction or conversion. At 81 East 3rd Street, BKREA's development-framed process attracted 220 groups and 12 bids.
When each is the right frame Income value is the right frame for a stabilized building with solid in-place income and little excess FAR — where the building, not the land, is the primary source of value. Development value is the right frame for an underbuilt lot, a building with weak or expiring income, or any property where land value exceeds capitalized income.
Worked example — same property, two frames A 10,000 SF lot in an R8 district with a 20,000 SF building netting $400,000/yr: $400,000 divided by 5.5% cap = $7.3M. Income buyers would pay $7.3M. Same lot allows 60,200 buildable SF at FAR 6.02. At $250/BSF = $15.0M. A developer would pay $15.0M — $7.7M more. Pricing on income alone leaves over half the property's value on the table.
When it applies to an owner Income framing applies when the property is fully built to its FAR, cash flow is stable, and no meaningful unused development rights exist. Development framing applies when the property is underbuilt relative to zoning — when land value exceeds income value, which signals the market sees a higher and better use.
How it affects value or owner decisions Pricing on income frames the property as a yield asset, which suits a sell-to-investor decision but can dramatically understate value on an underbuilt site. Pricing on development potential frames the property as land, which can reveal a far higher value and shift the owner's decision toward selling to a developer — or recognizing that conversion or teardown creates more value than holding.
Common misconception Many owners assume a property has one "real" value or that in-place income sets the ceiling — but the same property can be worth far more as a development site than as an income asset. An owner who has not run both numbers does not know what their property is worth.
Key question an owner should ask An owner should ask: "Is my property worth more for its income or for what can be built on it — and have I run both numbers?" — see [Development Site vs. Income-Producing Asset].
What the wrong choice costs Pricing a development site on income attracts income buyers at cap-rate value and misses developers willing to pay land value. On a site where land value is double income value, this mistake forfeits 50%+ of the property's true worth. Pricing a stabilized income building on speculative development potential when the site has little unused FAR produces an unrealistically high ask, attracts no credible bids, and leaves the property shopworn.

Source: BKREA 2026 active listings (price per SF benchmarks) | Bob Knakal Historical Sales Database